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Wednesday, June 25, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 25 2008

JUNE 25 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS : TARGET RS 5760 TO 5920

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 6190

S1 RS 5810, S2 RS 5785, S3 RS 5753

R1 RS 5874, R2 RS 5897, R3 RS 5925

MARKET IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SIDEWAYS

Oil Rises a Fourth Day on Nigerian Output.

Crude oil rose for a fourth day in New York after

Chevron Corp. halted part of its Nigerian output and

Gold man sachs group inc increased oil price forecast.


.Crude oil for August delivery rose as much as 38 cents,

or 0.3 percent, to $137.38 a barrel in electronic trading

on the New York Mercantile Exchange, and traded at

$137.25 at 3:39 p.m. Singapore time. Yesterday,

futures rose 26 cents to settle at $137 a barrel after

touching $138.75, the highest since reaching a record

$139.89 on June 16, on concern that production

losses will deepen.

Brent crude oil for August settlement rose as much

as 54 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $137 a barrel on London's

ICE Futures Europe exchange.

Oil may fall as the Federal Reserve might end a run of

seven interest-rate cuts. The reductions have caused

the dollar to decline, prompting investors to purchase

commodities as an inflation hedge.

Traders see a 90 percent chance policy makers will

leave the target rate for overnight lending between

banks at 2 percent today, compared with 84 percent

odds a week ago, interest rate futures contracts on the

Chicago Board of Trade indicate. The rest of the bets are

for a quarter-percentage point increase.

U.S. crude-oil stockpiles probably fell 1.1 million barrels

in the week ended June 20 from 301 million barrels,

according to the median of responses by 12 analysts

before an Energy Department report today. Inventories

dropped as refiners increased their output and on rising

storage costs.



Tuesday, June 24, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 24 2008

JUNE 24 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 5960

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 6190

S1 RS 5862, S2 RS 5830, S3 RS 5790

R1 RS 5925, R2 RS 5960, R3 RS 6030

PREFER INTRADAY LONG AT RS 5862 TO 5858

STOP LOSS RS 5830

TARGET RS 5925

Oil Is Little Changed After Falling $4 as Fuel Demand Declines

Crude oil was little changed in New York after

falling more than $4 a barrel yesterday, the

biggest drop since March, as record prices

reduced demand.

Crude oil for July delivery fell 11 cents to $126.51

a barrel at 11:32 a.m. Singapore time in after-hours

trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Yesterday, the contract declined $4.41, or 3.4 percent,

to settle at $126.62 a barrel, the lowest close since

May 16. It was the biggest drop since March 31.

Futures reached a record $135.09 on May 22.

Prices have more than doubled over the past year.

Saudi Arabia said yesterday that it increased oil

sales by 300,000 barrels per day in May and would

increase it by another 200,000 barrels a day

in July.The announcement was in line with

expectation.

Nigeria continues to have problems keeping

its oil production safe.Late last week a

120,000 barrels per day chevron plant was closed

after its pipe lines were attacked.Earlier last

week a 200,000 barrel per day shell facility

was closed.

Saturday, June 21, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 21 2008

JUNE 21 SATURDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 5580

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 6190

S1 RS 5720, S2 RS 5680, S3 RS 5620

R1 RS 5790, R2 RS 5840, R3 RS 5890

PREFER SHORTS AT RS 5780 TO 5790

STOP LOSS RS 5830

TARGET RS 5685

Crude Oil Rises as U.S. Dollar Weakens, Israel Conducts Drill .

Crude oil rose as the weaker dollar enhanced the

appeal of commodities as a currency hedge and the

New York Times reported that Israel held a

rehearsal for a potential bombing attack on

nuclear targets in Iran.

Crude oil for July delivery rose $2.69, or 2 percent,

to settle at $134.62 a barrel at 2:48 p.m. on the New

York Mercantile Exchange. Prices declined 24 cents

this week. Futures climbed to a record $139.89 on June 16.

Brent crude oil for August settlement rose

$2.86, or 2.2 percent, to settle at $134.86 a barrel

on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices

climbed to a record $139.32 on June 16.




Thursday, June 19, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 19 2008

JUNE 19 THURSDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 5920

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 6190

S1 RS 5785, S2 RS 5745, S3 RS 5710

R1 RS 5837, R2 RS 5882, R3 RS 5920

PREFER LONG AT RS 5785 TO 5780

STOP LOSS RS 5745

TARGET RS 5837

Crude steady above $ 134

Crude steadied above $ 134 a barrel on Wednesday

after falling for 3 days . as market awaited data

that is expected to show falling U.S crude stocks

ahead of an emergency meeting in Saudi Arabia

aimed at taming prices.

Crude oil for July delivery fell 11 cents to $126.51 a

barrel at 11:32 a.m. Singapore time in after-hours

trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Yesterday, the contract declined $4.41, or 3.4

percent, to settle at $126.62 a barrel, the lowest

close since May 16. It was the biggest drop since

March 31. Futures reached a record $135.09 on May 22.

Prices have more than doubled over the past year.

Crude oil inventories fell 8.88 million barrels to

311.6 million last week, the department reported.

It was the biggest drop since Sept. 17, 2004, when

Hurricane Ivan forced the closure of U.S. oil platforms

in the Gulf of Mexico. The decline was caused by

``temporary delays'' in unloading tankers, the

department said.

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 18 2008

JUNE 18 2008

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS : TARGET RS 5660 TO 5815

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH ; TARGET RS 6190

MARKET IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SIDEWAYS.

Oil Falls a Fourth Day on Signs of U.S. Gasoline-

Demand Drop .
Crude oil fell for a fourth day in New York in

the longest losing streak this year as data

showed gasoline use in the U.S., the world's

largest consumer, is declining as record

prices curb demand.

Crude oil for July delivery fell as much as 85 cents,

or 0.6 percent, to $133.16 a barrel in after-hours

electronic trading on the New York Mercantile

Exchange. The contract was at $133.37 a barrel

at 12:52 p.m. in Singapore. The four-day decline

is the longest since Dec. 18.

The contract closed yesterday at $134.01, down

60 cents. Futures climbed to a record $139.89 a

barrel on June 16. Prices are 93 percent higher

than a year earlier.

Oil stockpiles probably dropped 1.75 million

barrels in the week ended June 13 from 302.2

million barrels, according to the median of

responses.

Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter, has called

a meeting of producers, major industrial nations and banks

for June 22 in the country's Red Sea port of Jeddah to

discuss plans to stabilize prices.



Tuesday, June 17, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 17 TUESDAY

JUNE 17 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS : TARGET RS 5685 TO 5860

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 6190

MARKET IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SIDEWAYS.

Oil steadied near $135 after falling earlier on news

that Saudi Arabia would boost output in July in a

bid to cool record prices.

In London, Brent crude for August delivery was down

11 cents at $135.00 a barrel.

Friday, June 13, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 13 FRIDAY

JUNE 13 FRIDAY


SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS : TARGET RS 5745 TO 5920

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 6190

Oil prices fell Thursday as the dollar strengthened

and as traders took profits after a five-dollar gain

in response to a US government report that

showed American crude reserves dipped for

a fourth week running.


At 2:30 p.m., New York-traded WTI crude for July

delivery was down $2.54 at $133.85 a barrel.

In London, Brent crude for July delivery was

down $2.02 at $133.00 a barrel.

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 11 2008

JUNE 11 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 5580

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 6190


MARKET IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SIDEWAYS TO LOWER.


Crude Oil Falls More Than $3 as Dollar Rises Against

Euro, Yen .

Crude oil fell more than $3 a barrel in New York as

the dollar climbed against the euro and yen,

curbing the appeal of commodities.
Crude oil for July delivery fell $3.04, or 2.3 percent,

to settle at $131.31 a barrel at 2:46 p.m. on the New

York Mercantile Exchange. Oil has dropped $7.23,

or 5.2 percent, yesterday and today, the biggest

two-day drop in 11 weeks. Futures have more

than doubled over the past year.

Prices climbed $10.75 a barrel on June 6, the

most ever, to a record $139.12 as the dollar

weakened and amidst threat of supply

disruptions.
The International Energy Agency cut its forecas

t for global oil demand for a fifth month as record

prices dented consumption. The IEA reduced its

2008 outlook by about 70,000 barrels a day to

86.77 million barrels a day from 86.84 million

last month, the Paris-based agency said today

in its monthly report. That leaves demand growth

for this year at 0.9 percent

Brent crude oil for July settlement declined $2.89,

or 2.2 percent, to settle at $131.02 a barrel on

London's ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices

climbed to a record $138.12 on June 6.















Tuesday, June 10, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 10 2008

JUNE 10 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS TARGET RS 5750 TO 5895

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH TARGET RS 6190

MARKET IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SIDEWAYS


Oil's record jump to $139 a barrel at the end of last week defies


any single explanation, altough some leading analyst and

producers predict the price could go higher.

Crude jumped $10.75 on Friday to $139.12, taking two-day

gains to more than $16. Some put the move down to comments

by an Israeli minister about a possible attack on Iran, the world's

fourth-largest producer

Banks such as Goldman Sachs and Barclays are prominent

among those saying oil market fundamentals are a key factor

in rising prices. Producers, including Organisation of Petroleum

Exporting Countries (Opec), tend to blame factors other than

supply, such as speculation.

Friday, June 6, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 6 FRIDAY

JUNE 6 FRIDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 5475

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH ; TARGET RS 5490

S1 RS 5345, S2 RS 5310, S3 RS 5275

R1 RS 5395, R2 RS 5426, R3 5475

WAIT FOR SUPPORT FOR FRESH LONG.


Oil continued higher towards $130 a barrel on Friday, extending the

previous session's record-breaking one-day rise as the U.S. dollar

slumped on signals the European Central Bank may raise interest

rates later this year.
At 10:12 a.m., New York-traded WTI crude for July delivery was up $1.76


at $129.55 a barrel. On Thursday, the contract staged a dramatic



turnaround, bouncing over $6 off its intraday low of $121.61 to close

above $127 a barrel.

In London, Brent crude for July delivery was up $1.41 at $128.95 a barrel.

Crude prices have been closely linked to the dollar in recent months,

as falls in the greenback make dollar-priced commodities cheaper for

holders of other currencies while also encouraging investors to buy

hard assets like oil as a financial hedge.

Thursday, June 5, 2008

UPDATES ON 5 JUNE 2008

JUNE 5 THURSDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 5140

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 5690

S1 RS 5215, S2 RS 5180, S3 RS 5154

R1 RS 5272, R2 RS 5305, R3 RS 5345

PREFER SHORTS AT RS 5265 TO 5270

STOP LOSS RS 5305

TARGET RS 5215

Crude oil fell more than $2 a barrel and gasoline dropped the most

in two months on a larger-than- expected U.S. fuel-supply gain and

signs demand will weaken because of increasing prices.

Crude oil for July delivery fell $2.01, or 1.6 percent, to settle at $122.30

a barrel at 2:43 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest

close since May 6. Futures, which reached a record $135.09 a barrel

on May 22, are up 85 percent from a year ago.

Crude-oil inventories fell 4.8 million barrels to 306.8 million barrels

last week. Analysts were split over whether crude-oil supplies rose

or fell in the Bloomberg News survey.


Tuesday, June 3, 2008

UPDATES ON 3 JUNE 2008

JUNE 3 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS ; TARGET RS 5360 TO 5538

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 5890

S1 RS 5410 , S2 RS 5365, S3 RS 5320

R1 RS 5472, R2 RS 5506, R3 RS 5538

MARKET EXPECTED TO MOVE SIDEWAYS

Oil pluinged on fars of lower demand after recent record prices,

Dollar strength and receding worries about the Hurricane season.

Meanwhile, traders kept an eye on the hurricane season's

developments. The Atlantic hurricane season kicked off with

Tropical Storm Arthur. The storm, which dumped rain on southern

portions of Mexico as well as Guatemala and Belize, will most

likely stay over land and break up. High seas in the Gulf of Mexico

will calm today as Arthur misses the Bay of Campeche and its

Cantarell oilfield.


At 2:27 p.m., New York-traded West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery


was down $1.43 at $125.92 a barrel.


Looking ahead, traders are likely to focus on the hurricane season, and

U.S. gasoline demand now the summer driving season is underway, as well as


the dollar and tensions between Iran and the West.

Monday, June 2, 2008

UPDATES ON JUNE 2 2008

JUNE 2 2008 MONDAY


SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 5320

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH ; TARGET RS 5890

PREFER SHORT AT 5430 TO 5435

STOP LOSS RS 5468

TARGET RS 5365.

OIL PRICES MIXED IN ASIAN TRADE AMID NEGATIVE NEWS ON

GLOBAL ECONOMY

World oil prices were mixed in Asian trade Monday amid negative news on the

global economy, which could dampen demand for oil.



In morning trade, New York's main oil futures contract, light sweet crude for

July delivery, slipped 4 cents to $127.31 per barrel.

Prices fell heavily last week as traders took profits from a record-breaking

run that saw crude surge beyond $135 on concerns about tightening energy

supplies.