AUG 13 WEDNESDAY
FUNDAMENTAL UPDATES
The International Energy Agency said on Tuesday
that the tight global oil and supply balance that has
driven crude prices to record highs this year is easing,
but cautioned that healthy oil consumption in China and
geopolitical factors still threatened to tighten market conditions
in coming months.
With U.S and European consumers reducing consumption
and the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and
other producers pumping more crude , oil prices have eased
more than 20 % since topping a record of $ 147 a Barrell in July ,
the IEA said in its oil market report.
U.S oil prices traded $ 1 a barrel lower at $ 113.50 a barrel
at 0900 GMT Tuesday.
"In terms of oil fundamentals , crude abd product supply
tightness has eased ," the IEA said while adding that the
global oil market still faced many challenges.
IEA supply Analyst Mr David Fyfe said that supply
uncertainy will continue .He was referring to the oil
puipe line blast in Turkey last week that shut at least
500000 barrels a day of production and to recent fighting
between Russia and Georgia .
Chinese consumption which is seen growing by 5.6 %
in 2008 and 5.7 % next year , is essentially unchanged from
the IEA report last month.
China is the world's second biggest consumer after the
U.S but uses just about one third the amount of crude as U.S
where consumption is expected to fall 3.1 % this year , and
2 % in 2009.
The IEA thinks Chinese oil demand could rebound after the
Olympic Games in Beijing.
For the duration of the competition , the Chinese Government
has closed hundreds of factories and ordered more than 1
million vehicles off Beijings road to cut pollution.
Some Analyst dont think so , arguing that China has built up
a bounty of oil stocks ahead of the Olympics and that those
inventoties will keep a clamp on demand even after the games.
Despite easing demand, oil inventories in large consuming nations
like the U.S haven't swelled far above normal levels to threaten
sharper lower crude prices.
Inventories are a key metric closely watched by OPEC in
setting its production policy.
No comments:
Post a Comment