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Wednesday, December 31, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 31

MCX JAN CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM ; BEARISH

LONG TERM ; BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 1840, 1810, 1760

RESISTANCES ; 1885, 1945, 1990

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATE

MARKET ALERT DECEMBER 31

AT 3 PM IST

MCX JAN CRUDE OIL EXPECTED TO TEST RS.1825

LEVELS, CURRENT RESISTANCE IS AT RS.1893,

CMP RS.1862.

UPDATES ON DEC 31 2008

DEC 31 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 1850 , S2 RS 1810 , S3 RS 1775

R1 RS 1930 , R2 RS 1965 , R3 RS 2010

STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.

Crude Oil Falls a Second Day, Heading for Record Annual Decline .


Crude oil fell for a second day, heading for a record

annual drop, on speculation that U.S. fuel stockpiles

are increasing as the recession cuts demand.

Crude oil for February delivery declined as much as 53

cents, or 1.4 percent, to $38.50 a barrel on the New York

Mercantile Exchange and traded at $38.51 at 12:16 p.m.

Singapore time. Prices are down 60 percent this year, the

first annual drop since 2001 when oil fell 26 percent,

and the biggest decline since trading began in 1983.

Oil may rebound next year to average $60 a barrel as the

Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries makes

record production cuts to counter the deepest economic

slump since World War II, according to the median forecasts

of 33 analysts compiled by Bloomberg. That would be a 54

percent gain from today’s price.

Oil rose more than 6 percent in each of the two trading days

through Dec. 29 on concern that supplies from the Middle

East may be disrupted amid a conflict between Israel and

Hamas in the Gaza Strip.

Tuesday, December 30, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR NYMEX TRADING


DECEMBER 30


MCX JAN CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM ; SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM ; BEARISH

SUPPORTS ; 1880, 1845, 1810

RESISTANCES ; 1960, 2010, 2050

WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 30

MCX JAN CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM ; SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS ; 1845, 1810, 1770

RESISTANCES ; 1935, 1980, 2025

WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.

US Crude settled at $ 37.71 a barrel , up $ 2.36

and Brent rose by $ 1.76 to settle at $ 38.37.

Indian crude settled at 1867 levels.

Oil climbed in thin post holiday after the United Arab Emirates

said they will deepen supply cuts in line with OPEC'S

biggest ever output cut announced last week and the dollar

weakened against the Euro.

The prices also increased as tensions continue to rise

between the Isreal forces and the Hamas in the GAZA

strip threatening the oil supplies from that region.

Crude for Jan under MCX Indial might see support at

Rs 1828 and resistence for the same can be seen at Rs

2020 levels.

Monday, December 29, 2008

UPDATE

MARKET ALERT AT 5 .15 PM IST DECEMBER 29

MCX JAN CRUDE OIL CMP RS.1990

LIKELY TO TEST RS. 2050 LEVELS CURRENT

SUPPORT SEEN AT RS.1962.

TRADING LEVELS FOR DEC 29 EVENING TRADE

DEC 29 MONDAY

TRADING LEVELS FOR NYMEX EVENING TRADE

SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 1945 , S2 RS 1910 , S3 RS 1870

R1 RS 2025 , R2 RS 2070 , R3 RS 2110

STAY LONG AT SUPPORT.
MARKET ALERT ON DEC 29 MONDAY 3.15 PM IST

As forecasted earlier in the day MCX Jan crude

is now at Rs 1958 . It is now at 6 % upper

freeze !!!!!!!!!
MARKET ALERT ON DEC 29 MONDAY 12.40 AM IST

CRUDE OIL MCX Jan could test Rs 1960

because of geopolitical tension in the Gaza strip.

Traders who are in the buying side could

keep a stop loss of Rs 1877 .

UPDATES ON DEC 29 2008

DEC 29 MONDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 1805 , S2 RS 1775 , S3 RS 1730

R1 RS 1880 , R2 RS 1920, R3 RS 1960

STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.

Crude oil may fall next week on speculation that the

US fuel stock piles will increase because of faltering

demand.

Thirteen of 28 analyst surveyed by Bloomberg

said futures will decline through January 2 .

Crude oil is set to continue its downward spiral through

the end of the year .

Crude oil for Dec delivery declined $ 4.65 or 11 %

to $ 37.71 this week on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Nymex was shut because of christmas.

Friday, December 26, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR EVENING TRADE

MCX JAN CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 1775, 1730, 1680

RESISTANCES ; 1835, 1870, 1910

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATE

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 26

MCX JAN CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM ;BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 1775, 1730, 1680

RESISTANCES : 1864, 1910,1956

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

MARKET ALERT ON DEC 24 9.40 PM IST

EIA Crude stocks 3.1 %

Expected 0.4 %

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 24

MCX JAN CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS ; 1856, 1810, 1775

RESISTANCES ; 1920, 1958, 2010

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 24

MCX JAN CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 1890, 1857, 1805

RESISTANCES ; 1980, 2020, 2060

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES.

Oil fell by another 2.3 % to below $ 39 a barrel on Tuesday

as a raft of gloomy economic data reinforced expectations

that world energy demand will shrink for the first time

in 25 years.

OPEC which has agreed to slash global oil supplies by 5 %

may call for an emergency meeting before March if the market

extends its slide.

Tuesdays losses came afterUS Government data showedthe economy

of the world's biggest energy consumer shrank 0.5 % in the

third quarter as a credit and a housing crisi took hold.

Crude for Jan expiryunder the MCX India might see resistence at

Rs 1990 levels and support may be seen at Rs 1880 levels.

Traders feel the prices can go down to $ 30.

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

MARKET ALERT ON DEC 23 7.40 PM IST

As crude did not remain below RS 1991,it is likely

to test Rs 2045.

Traders who are on the buying side should have a

stop loss of Rs 1960.

Current market price Rs 1991.
MARKET ALERT ON DEC 23 7.10 PM IST

MCX Jan Crude is expected to test Rs 1930,

if it sustains below Rs 1991.

Current market price Rs 1968.

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 23

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM ; BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS ; 1950, 1910, 1860

RESISTANCES ; 1990, 2030, 2080

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 23

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM: BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 1980, 1945, 1905

RESISTANCES : 2075, 2110,2160

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES.

Crude oil fell for a second day in New York on speculation

that a deepening global recession is reducing fuel

demand in Asia, undermining OPEC's efforts to boost

prices by cutting production.

Crude oil for February delivery fell as much as 86 cents,

or 2.2 percent, to $39.05 a barrel. It was at $39.11 a

barrel at 11:42 a.m. Singapore time on the New York

Mercantile Exchange. Prices have dropped 73 percent

from a record $147.27 on July 11.

Brent crude oil for February settlement fell 45 cents, or

1.1 percent, to $41 a barrel on London's ICE Futures

Europe exchange at 11:27 a.m. Singapore time. The contract

yesterday declined $2.55, or 5.8 percent, to settle at

$41.45 a barrel.

UPDATE

DECEMBER 23

CRUDE LIKELY TO OPEN CLOSE TO LOWER CIRCUIT AT

OPENING.

Monday, December 22, 2008

MARKET ALERT ON DEC 22 8.45 PM IST

MCX JAN Crude oil is expected to test Rs 1970,

if it sustains below Rs 2080.

Current market Price Rs 2045.

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 22

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM ; BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2010, 1975, 1925

RESISTANCES : 2075, 2110, 2160

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

updates

UPDATE AT 2 .30 PM DECEMBER 22

MCX JAN CRUDE HAS BREACHED CRUCIAL SUPPORT

RS.2054 LIKELY TO TEST RS.2000 TP 1990

LEVELS, RESISTANCES NOW AT RS.2085.
Market update on Dec 22 12.30 IST

MCX Jan Crude Oil could test RS 2110 and Rs 2140.

It should hold above Rs 2054.

UPDATES ON DEC 22 2008

DEC 22 MONDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 2010 , S2 RS 1970 , S3 RS 1925

R1 RS 2075 , R2 RS 2110 , R3 RS 2160

STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.

Oil fell below $ 34 On Friday to its lowest level in

more than 4 1/2 years as the global economic slowdown

overshadowed OPEC'S record supply cut .

US Light Crude for January delivery fell $ 2.64 to

$ 33.58 a barrel .

It earlier touched $ 33.44 the lowest since April 2004.

Oil has continued to drop despite pledges by the OPEC

last week to remove 22 million barrels per day from

its supply which is its largest ever reduction by the

producer group.

Crude for Jan expiry under the MCX might see resistence

at Rs 2115 levels while support may be seen at Rs 1970

levels.

Friday, December 19, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 19


MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM ; BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS ; 2000, 1960, 1910

RESISTANCES ; 2060, 2110, 2180

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

TRADIN G CALL

TRADING CALL AT 1 PM IST DECEMBER 19

SELL MCX FEB GOLD CMP RS.12837

SL 12875 TARGET 1 12790, T2 12760.
DEC 19 FRIDAY

FUNDAMENTAL SCENARIO

US Crude prices dropped more than 9 % to $ 36 a barrel

on Thursday as slumping demand and swelling US inventories

offset OPEC record supply cut agreement.

The OPEC on Wednesday agreeded to reduce output by

2.2 million barrels per day from January to counter

oil's collapse from record highs .

Oil has dropped 33 % this month even as OPEC agreed to its

largest production cuts in more than a decade even as

traders speculated that falling demand would outweigh

reduction.

Crude for Jan expiry under the MCX India might see

resistence at Rs 2160 levels while the support can

be seen at Rs 1990 levels.

OUTLOOK

World wide demand for fuel is falling more than expected.

Even the OPEC cut was much bigger than expected it

wont be supportive for the market.

The market can go down to $ 30 .We are still in the

state when the market might still be searching for

the bottom.

UPDATES ON DEC 19 2308

DEC 19 FRIDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 2040 , S2 RS 1985 , S3 RS 1940

R1 RS 2140 , R2 RS 2185 , R3 RS 2230

STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.

Crude oil headed for the second- biggest weekly decline in

more than five years as a deepening global recession

saps demand, countering efforts by OPEC to boost

prices.

Crude oil for January delivery was at $36.29 a barrel,

up 7 cents, at 11:13 a.m. Singapore time on the New York

Mercantile Exchange. Oil has fallen 21 percent this week.

The January contract expires today. The more-active February

contract rose as much as 78 cents, or 1.9 percent, to $42.45

a barrel. It was at $42.41 a barrel at 11:20 a.m. Singapore

time.

Brent crude oil for February settlement was at $43.70 a

barrel, up 34 cents, on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange.

The contract yesterday declined $2.17, or 4.8 percent, to

settle at $43.36 a barrel.

Thursday, December 18, 2008

UPDATE

UPDATE AT 6 PM DECEMBER 18

Crude oil rose from a four-year low on speculation

OPEC’s record output cut will reduce surplus

supplies next year.

OPEC yesterday agreed that the group’s 11 members

with quotas will trim current production by 9 percent

in an attempt to stabilize prices. Russia and Azerbaijan

signaled they be willing to reduce supplies as well.

Global stockpiles could fall as much as 3 million

barrels a day in the first quarter of next year,

according to Petromatrix GmbH.

Crude oil for January delivery rose as much as 84 cents,

or 2.1 percent, to $40.90 a barrel in electronic trading

on the New York Mercantile Exchange today. It traded at

$40.73 a barrel at 12:08 p.m. London time.

The contract expires tomorrow. The more actively traded

February contract rose as much as 2.3 percent to $45.64

a barrel. Prices dipped to a four-year low yesterday

after U.S. crude and fuel stockpiles gained and on

concern OPEC members may not comply with agreed cutbacks.

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 18

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM ; BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2125, 2080, 2030

RESISTANCES ; 2180, 2230, 2290

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 18

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2176, 2145, 2110

RESISTANCES : 2256, 2288, 2330

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

Wednesday, December 17, 2008

MARKET ALERT ON DEC 17 WEDNESDAY 10 .15 PM IST

NYMEX Crude oil breached crucial support $ 40.40 ,


if prices sustain below these levels may test $ 36 .


MCX Crude oil Rs 2130 / 2285 other wise range $ 40.40


to $43 .
MARKET ALERT ON DEC 17 WEDNESDAY 9.30 PM IST

OPEC has decided to cut oil output by

MLN BPD effective from Jan 1 .

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 17

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM ; BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2280, 2230, 2180

RESISTANCES : 2360, 2440, 2490

WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 17

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2270, 2225, 2185

RESISTANCES : 2345, 2380, 2425

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATES

UPDATE ON OPEC MEET ON DECEMBER 17

Saudi Arabia opened the door for OPEC's most dramatic

output reduction since the 1970s, calling for the group to

slash world oil supplies by at least another two million barrels

a day to keep abreast of faltering demand.

Saudi Oil Minister Ali Naimi, arriving for a summit here

of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, said

a cut of that size was the only way for OPEC, which supplies

more than 40% of the world's oil, "to bring things into balance."

View Full Imagendov Ali Al-Naimi, Saudi Arabia's oil minister,

arrives at his hotel prior to an OPEC meeting in Oran, Algeria.


Combined with an earlier reduction, the cuts would total nearly

four million barrels a day in four months -- the cartel's largest

yet in such a short time. But implementing another round of

deep cuts could prove difficult for OPEC, which is already

feeling the financial squeeze from falling prices and diminished


oil exports.
Traders on the New York Mercantile Exchange seemed

unimpressed by the Saudi show of resolve. The price of U.S.
\
benchmark crude for January delivery, already down more

than 70% from its record high this summer, fell 2%, or

91 cents, to $43.60.OPEC has trimmed output by around

1.7 million barrels a day since August, when oil prices began

to plummet on the heels of the global financial crisis and

sharply weaker energy demand. Together, the cuts would

represent 4.3% of current world demand of 85.8 million

barrels a day.

As always, much of the burden of another cut would fall on Saudi

Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter. Mr. Naimi, normally

tight-lipped in advance of big OPEC summits, clearly wanted to

send a signal to the oil market that Saudi Arabia was serious

about curtailing excess supply and buttressing prices. But his

announcement came on a day when the U.S. released another

round of grim economic data, including a steep drop in housing

starts, illustrating how difficult it will be for the cartel to

impress a market captivated by pessimistic economic tidings

on all sides.

OPEC, which meets officially on Wednesday, is eager to win

support for production cuts among big non-OPEC producers

such as Russia and Azerbaijan, both of which have sent

delegations to this week's summit.

Russian officials are expected to show solidarity with OPEC,

but the country's oil fields are already declining amid limited

investment and aging infrastructure. Few analysts believe

Moscow will offer cuts beyond the 300,000 barrels a day

Russia is expected to lose in pumping capacity next year.

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Market Alert on Dec 16 Tuesday

Nymex crude trading at interim support $ 43.80 ,

if prices sustain below these levels may test further

support $ 42 , else may trade $ 43.80 to $ 47.

MCX Crude oil Rs 2370 / 2380.

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 16

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2310, 2275, 2220

RESISTANCES ; 2365, 2395, 2440

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 16

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2310, 2275, 2210

RESISTANCES : 2385,2420, 2480

WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

Monday, December 15, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 15

MCX MARCH CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BULLISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS ; 2480, 2410, 2360

RESISTANCES : 2530, 2585, 2610

WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 15

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BULLISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2380, 2330, 2290

RESISTANCES : 2460,, 2495, 2540

BUY ON DIPS.

Last week saw prices get a boost of 10 % following the

OPEC Presidents remarks that more severe cuts could be

in the offing and te IEA forecast of a positive demand growth in

2009.

From the current levels the downside risk seem limited.

Weakening of the dollar has also aided the recent upward

price movement.

However the present grim macro economic condition

at present do not appear conducive for a sustained recovery

in prices.

Friday, December 12, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 12

MCX JANUARY CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BULLISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2460, 2380, 2330

RESISTANCES : 2515, 2556, 2600

STAY LONG AT SUPPORTS

Thursday, December 11, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 11

MCX DECEMBER CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2190, 2130, 2060

RESISTANCES ; 2260, 2290, 2340

WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 11

MCX DECEMBER CRUDE

SHORT TERM : SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2160, 2110, 2060

RESISTANCES : 2245, 2288, 2330

WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 10

MCX DECEMBER CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2110, 2060, 2000

RESISTANCES : 2160, 2240, 2280

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATES ON DEC 10 2008

DEC 10 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 2110 , S2 RS 2060 , S3 RS 2000

R1 RS 2180 , R2 RS 2240 , R3 RS2280

STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.

Crude oil falls on demand concern as world oil

demand shrunk in 2008.

Crude oil rose as traders bought contracts to close out bets that

prices will fall and on signs that OPEC will cut production

twice in as many months.

Crude oil futures for January delivery rose as much as $1.33,

or 3.2 percent, to $43.40 a barrel in after-hours electronic

trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at

$43.25 a barrel at 12 p.m. Singapore time. Yesterday,

futures fell $1.64, or 3.8 percent, to $42.07 a barrel,

capping a 23 percent drop since Nov. 26.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries cut its

forecast for next year by 530,000 barrels a day, or 0.6

percent, to 86.68 million barrels a day, in its monthly oil

market report on Nov. 17.

Traders are betting that oil for January delivery may fall below

$42 a barrel, according to data on put options contract volume

from the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Brent crude oil for January settlement rose as much as $1.05, or

2.5 percent, to $42.58 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures

Europe exchange at 12 p.m. Singapore time. The contract

yesterday declined $1.89, or 4.4 percent, to settle at

$41.53 a barrel.

Tuesday, December 9, 2008

TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NYMEX TRADE

DEC 9 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 2125 , S2 RS 2090 , S3 RS 2040

R1 RS 2180 , R2 RS 2240 , R3 RS 2280

Monday, December 8, 2008

TECHNICAL LEVEL FOR NYMEX TRADE

DEC 8 MONDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 2110 , S2 RS 2060 , S3 RS 2000

R1 RS 2180 , R2 RS 2240 , R3 RS 2280

STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.

UPDATES ON DEC 8 2008

DEC 8 MONDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 2040 , S2 RS 1985 , S3 RS 1953

R1 RS 2145 , R2 RS 2190 , R3 RS 2245

STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.

Friday, December 5, 2008

TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DEC 5 FRIDAY

TRADING LEVELS FOR EVENING NYMEX TRADING

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 2180 , S2 RS 2130 , S3 RS 2060

R1 RS 2250 , R2 RS 2330 , R3 RS 2380

STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.

DEC 5 FRIDAY

Fundamental Scenario

Oil fell more than 6 % to its lowest level

in 4 years in response to a weak economic data deeper decline in

global demand.The number of US workers on joblesss

rolls hit a 26 year high last month while another report

showed US factory orders fell sharply for the third month

in a row . Factory orders in October plunged in 5.1 %

the biggest drop since July 2000 and the number of US

workers on jobless benefit roll was the highest since

December 1982.

US light crude fell $ 3.12 % to settle at $ 43.67 , the lowest

since jan 5 2005.

OUTLOOK

Crude may continue to fall with weak economic data and

global financial crisis.

The oil might pose a bearish trend till the OPEC body meets

to decide the supply cuts fearing a defaltion in the price

level.



UPDATES ON DEC 5 2008

DEC 5 FRIDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 2205 , S2 RS 2165 , S3 RS 2120

R1 RS 2310 , R2 RS 2368 , R3 RS 2415

Oil falls more than 6 % to its weakest in four years

on weak economic data.

Crude oil for January delivery was at $44.02 a barrel, up

35 cents, at 1:03 p.m. Singapore time on the New York

Mercantile Exchange. Yesterday, futures tumbled $3.12,

or 6.7 percent, to $43.67 a barrel, the lowest settlement

price since Jan. 5, 2005.

Oil prices have fallen 70 percent since reaching a record

$147.27 on July 11. Crude's weekly drop is the largest

since a 24 percent decline during the week ending March

21, 2003.

Brent crude oil for January settlement was at $42.60 a barrel,

up 32 cents, on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange at

1:04 p.m. Singapore time. The contract yesterday fell $3.16,

or 7 percent, to $42.28, the lowest settlement since Jan. 5,

2005.


Thursday, December 4, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 4

MCX DECEMBER CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2280, 2230, 2180

RESISTANCES : 2340, 2390, 2440

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATES

TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER 4

MCX DECEMBER CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2360, 2310, 2280

RESISTANCES : 2430, 2470, 2520

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

Wednesday, December 3, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 3

MCX DECEMBER CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM :BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2380, 2340, 2280

RESISTANCES : 2430, 2470, 2520

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATES ON DEC 3 2008

DEC 3 WEDNE244SDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 2440 , S2 RS 2380 , S3 RS 2310

R1 RS 2510 , R2 RS 2560 , R3 RS 2620

STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.

Oil Rises From 3-Year Low as Equities Gain, Traders Close Out .

Crude oil rebounded from the lowest price in more than

three years as equities gained and traders bought

contracts to close out bets that prices will fall.

Crude oil for January delivery rose as much as $1.14, or 2.4

percent, to $48.10 a barrel in after-hours electronic trading

on the New York Mercantile Exchange, and traded at $47.75

a barrel at 1:09 p.m. Singapore time.

Yesterday, futures fell $2.32, or 4.7 percent, to $46.96 a barrel,

the lowest settlement since May 20, 2005. Oil has tumbled 67

percent from a record $147.27 a barrel reached on July 11.

Oil is set to decline 50 percent this year, snapping six

years of gains.

U.S. crude inventories probably gained for a 10th week as

demand continues to plummet in the world's largest energy

user, according to a Bloomberg survey before the Department

of Energy releases its weekly report.

Brent crude oil for January settlement gained as much as $1.15,

or 2.5 percent, to $46.59 a barrel on London's ICE Futures

Europe exchange. It was at $46.32 a barrel at 12:54 p.m.

Singapore time. The contract declined $2.53, or 5.3 percent,

to $45.44 a barrel yesterday, the lowest settlement since

Feb. 15, 2005.




Tuesday, December 2, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NYMEX TRADING

DECEMBER 2

MCX DECEMBER CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2440, 2400, 2360

RESISTANCES : 2510, , 2560, 2620

STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES

UPDATES ON DEC 2 2008

DEC 2 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 2545 , S2 RS 2500 , S3 RS 2460

R1 RS 2630 , R2 RS 2675 , R3 RS 2710

STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.

Crude Oil Falls on Signs of Further Contraction

in U.S. Economy .

Crude oil fell to the lowest in more than three years in New York

on signs that the economy in the U.S., the world's largest energy

consumer, is in a more severe economic slowdown than expected.

Crude oil for January delivery dropped as much as $1.70, or

3.5 percent, to $47.58 a barrel in after-hours trading on the

New York Mercantile Exchange. That's the lowest since May 20,

2005. It was at $47.90 at 12:36 p.m. in Singapore. The contract

fell $5.15, or 9.5 percent, to $49.28 a barrel yesterday, the

lowest settlement since May 23, 2005.

Oil prices have tumbled 67 percent since reaching a record

$147.27 on July 11 as the U.S., Europe and Japan face their

first simultaneous recession since World War II.

U.S. crude-oil inventories probably rose for a 10th week as imports

rebounded, a Bloomberg News survey of analysts showed.

Crude-oil stockpiles probably climbed 850,000 barrels in the

week ended Nov. 28 from 320.8 million the week before, according

to the median of six analyst estimates before an Energy

Department report this week.

Brent crude oil for January settlement fell as much as $1.67, or

3.5 percent, to $46.30 a barrel, on London's ICE Futures

Europe exchange. It was at $46.56 a barrel at 12:36 p.m.

Singapore time. The contract yesterday declined $5.52, or 10

percent, to settle at $47.97 a barrel. It was the lowest settlement

since May 19, 2005.

Monday, December 1, 2008

UPDATES

TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NYMEX TRADING

ON DECEMBER 1

MCX DECEMBER CRUDE OIL

SHORT TERM : BEARISH

LONG TERM : BEARISH

SUPPORTS : 2610, 2560, 2510

RESISTANCES : 2680, 2740,, 2780

WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

UPDATES ON DEC 1 2008

DEC 1 MONDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND ; BEARISH

S1 RS 2700 , S2 RS 2660 , S3 RS 2580

R1 RS 2760 , R2 RS 2790 , R3 RS 2830

oil prices may be in the process of stabilising ,

trading in the mid 50's.

In the short term demand conditions and flow of

economic data are sure to pressure prices.

OECD demand conditions continue to be weak.

In th US demand decline may be moderating as indicated by

October data .

Global demand growth is sure to remain subdued over

the coming months.

However the supply side constraints continue to

remain too. OPEC decision to cut production should

allow prices to stabilise at the front end of the curve.